Back to the USSR

Wednesday, December 12, 2007 at 11:59 | Posted in Belarus, russia | 1 Comment
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Vilhelm Konnader discusses the idea circulating in Moscow that Russia and Belarus would form a union with Vladimir Putin as president. I suppose this concept would foresee Dmitri Medvedev as the president of the Russian Federation and Alexander Lukashenko as the president of Belarus. Putin would be a federal president.

Vilhelm does not seem to believe that this would be a realistic scenario (with the reservation that nowadays you can expect just about anything from Moscow):

A union between Russia and Belarus fundamentally contradicts the Putin plan’s policy of modernization, and the only reason why it might still be seriously considered, would be as a concession from the liberals to the security structures for letting Medvedev succeed Putin as president of Russia. The question one must then ask, is if the ongoing Kremlin power struggle has been allowed to go so far, as to enable even the craziest ideas. If the union and similar ideas would materialise, people will in a few years time look back with nostalgia to the relative peace and quiet of the Putin era.

I can think of another reason why Putin might be interested. This could be considered as a first step to re-create the USSR. If so, it would put this video of mine in a totally new perspective.

Vodpod videos no longer available. from larko.vodpod.com

Edit: The Other Russia also seems to make a connection between Putin’s endorsement of Medvedev and the rumored Russia-Belarus union:

Rumors of a possible Union between Belarus and Russia with Putin as president swirled in the mass-media during the past week. Some commentators, including Gennady Zyuganov of the Communist party, still saw this as an option. Zyuganov said that the latest endorsement was part of the plot “orchestrated by the Kremlin.”

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  1. Dear Larko,

    Thank you for raising attention to my latest piece. Yes, Putin is important as a national leader, unifier and balancer of the various interests that make up power in present Russia. What has not been sufficiently noticed though is that the monopolising interests, in the meaning of Norbert Elias, have reached an elite consensus on the rules of the game in the years to come, in the name of sovereign democracy. A lot has been written on this concept, but far too little in a concerted way. It is true, that the Russian constitution prohibits a national ideology, but this is as close as you get. If the elites succeed in keeping to the sovereign democracy deal, then Russian politics will become more far-sighted than the mere issue of who will rule Russia, a union between Russia and Belarus or whatever. This goes beyond Putin or not Putin. It is a factor of much greater importance that may become the lead theme of policy formulation and implementation in the next decade. And still, despite the fact that the sovereign democracy concept has been discussed ever since its invention in 2005, not enough attention is brought to the issue.

    Yours,

    Vilhelm


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